Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Housing Market Problems

Things are looking bleak.

High-Risk Credit

by Ron Paul

As markets went on a rollercoaster ride last week, our economy is coming close to a day of reckoning for loose credit policies being followed by the Federal Reserve Bank. Simply, foreign banks we have been relying on to buy our debt are waking up to the reality of much higher default rates than predicted, and many mortgage-backed securities have been reduced to “junk” ratings. Wall Street fears the possibility of tightening credit and the tightening of America’s belts. Why, they say, “if Americans spend only what they can afford, think of the ripple effects throughout the economy!” This is the cry, as the call comes for the fed to cut rates and bail out companies in trouble.


More inflation is, however, never the answer to inflation.


The truth is that business involves risk, and businesses that miscalculate risk should be liquidated, so their assets can be reallocated to businesses that correctly judge risk and make profits. Instead, the Fed has injected $64 billion into the jittery markets, effectively amounting to a bailout that keeps these malinvestments afloat, but eventually they will become the undoing of our economy.


In addition to the negative reactions in financial markets, many Americans have taken on too much personal debt owing to exotic mortgage products and artificially low interest rates. Unfortunately, these families are now in the position of losing their homes in unprecedented numbers as the teaser rates expire and the real bills are coming due.


The real answers are, and always have been, found in the principles of the free market. Let the market set the interest rates. If we had been functioning under a true and transparent free market system, we would not be in the mess we are in today. Government, like the American household, needs to live within its means to get back on stable fiscal ground.


We’ve been headed in the wrong direction since 1971. This week marks the 36th anniversary of Nixon’s decision to close the gold window, which convinced me to seek public office to call attention to the runaway money train that would come in the aftermath of that decision. The temptation to print and spend money with impunity, like the temptation to max out lines of credit, is too strong to for government to resist. While Nixon brokered exclusivity deals with OPEC to prop up demand for the tidal wave of green pieces of paper the Fed pumped into the markets, the world is tiring of marching to the beat of our drum in order to secure their energy needs. The house of cards Nixon built is now on the verge of collapsing on our heads, and on our children’s heads.


As the dollar weakens, it becomes ever clearer that we need a return to sound, commodity-based money for a secure future. Money based on real value, not empty promises and secretive backroom machinations, is the way to get out of the current calamity without causing even bigger problems.

18 comments:

Godwhacker said...

I've been thinking of a Ron Paul add that could go something like this:

•Military aid to the brutal Saudi Monarchy that still funds anti-western Madrassas;13 billion dollars.

•Immoral military action in Iraq; 500 billion dollars.

•"Free National Health Insurance" proposed by the Democrats; 1.5 trillion dollars.

•Knowing that you support the only candidate running for president with a sane monetary policy; priceless.

tshsmom said...

"Government, like the American household, needs to live within its means to get back on stable fiscal ground.

WOW!! I never thought I'd see the day when a politician agreed with me on this point!

Swinging Sammy said...

I think it's funny, hilarious actually, that godwhacker used a credit card ad slogan in this reply. Well Done!

On the subject of the post:
Gosh I hope Ron Paul wins the Republican nomination. He seems to be the only one with morals and finanacial wisdom.

S.M. Elliott said...

He's right about spending, but that belt-tightening will unfortunately pinch the middle and working classes hardest, I suspect. It won't be easy.

United We Lay said...

I still have some issues with Ron Paul, but that's besides the point. I live in a townhome community that is seeing some foreclosures in the wake of this whole morgage thing, making our property values plummet - looks like we'll be stuck here a while. I'm seeing a lot of changes in our community. A lot of people are cutting back in things to be able to afford their morgaes and things like milk and gas. We may be in the beginning stages of an election, but we have to keep in mind that there are people who can't pay attnetion to what's going on in the political realm because they're just trying to feed their families and keep a roof over their heads. Getting those people involved in the process (especially before the primaries) is necessary for there to be any real change.

Laura said...

I actually think this mortgage crisis screams for more regulation of business practices, not less. After all, if there was someone with common sense and morals looking after what lenders were doing and putting the locks down on predatory lending, we wouldn't be here. I see this as nothing more than an extension of the payday loan business - exploiting the poor and poorly educated for profit.

Speaking of education, especially for the poor and working classes, how is one supposed to learn about personal finance? Finance isn't something that you just "know" - you have to learn about it. But unfortunately the schools these people attend in poor and working class neighborhoods focus on vocational-based education more than holistic education. If they had been taught what an ARM loan really meant - they may have thought twice.

On a personal note, I can't wait for the market to crash, because then we'll actually be able to afford to buy a place in Chicago.

Anonymous said...

Another reason why he needs to be President. he understands economics.

My cousin-in-law and I were talking about the state of the economy the other day. We were saying that we'll need a small crash in order to prevent the huge one. Bernanke preventing the small one is a bad idea, because he's just going to make it worse in the long run.

The gov't needs to stop spending, and stop printing too much money. We need fiscal responsibility, and Ron Paul has it. The other candidates don't.

Sadie Lou said...

*sigh*

Here I am a couple of days before we move into a rental because we lost our butts in the real estate market and we're adding to the mess by working a deed in leiu of foreclosure with our bank.
:(

Sadie Lou said...

Oh--and I'm sad I don't see my sweet, little south park face in your links anymore--what if I came back?

Crystal Starr said...

Sadie PLEASE COME BACK!!!!!!?!?!??!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?!??!?!?! I miss your blog so much! I love your new crafty blog too but I loved your posts!!!!

{{{hugs}}}

Sadie Lou said...

Hi Crystal!! I miss you too. I love when you come visit my blog. Yes, we ARE homeschooling sistahs now. I'm going through a local Charter School program and we love it. Ryan almost failed the 4th grade and I knew that 5th grade was going to get worse before it got better--so we opted to take his education into our own hands. I just signed the kids up for some extar enrichment classes on top of what I'm doing with them at home. We really like it.
Now go tell hubby to put my link back up! If I come back--he'll have to come back and participate.
:)

Crystal Starr said...

Hi Sadie,

That is so awesome that you're homeschooling! It's the best decision we have ever made and I have never once regretted it even when it's hard.

Scott put Sadie's link back up for Pete's sake!!!

Crystal Starr said...

Scott you really need to update this old thing!

Sadie Lou said...

I'm coming to you with any homeschooling pep talks I might need!!

Crystal Starr said...

I'm always here! Hey do you have a different e-mail address again? I have e-mailed you a few times and I haven't heard back from you?

=)

Sadie Lou said...

What? No! I have the same email address! I hope nothing got messed up during the move. I'll go check my junk mail!

Godwhacker said...

Alright Scott! There are few enough rational advocates of liberty in the blogosphere without someone thinking they can just take weeks off with no posts. You know the drill with this job ~ no pay, no reward and no time off. Hmm, I wonder if they are just getting us ready for life with Hillary as president?

Hope all is well.

G

Anonymous said...

You said you were thinking about running for office...you should! You are smart and read a lot..I may not always agree with you but we need SMART people!